Os governos do PT e o desempenho macroeconômico do Brasil: uma análise com controle sintético
Abstract
The goal of this paper is to quantitatively evaluate the impact of PT’s governments on the GDP per capita of the Brazilian economy. To do that, we use a synthetic control approach to create a contrafactual of Brazil’s GDP per capita and, after that, we compare the economic growth under PT’s administration against the contrafactual. Once we estimate the standard model using one donor pool of emerging market economies, performed a placebo test and executed some robustness exercises, we did not find strong evidence that the effect of PT's governments on GDP per capita was negative.
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